Who wins the 2024 Lok Sabha elections? Modi-led BJP takes the lead in pre-poll survey.


Who wins the 2024 Lok Sabha elections? Modi-led BJP takes the lead in pre-poll survey.

A pre-poll study that was conducted by Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) during the time of the Lok Sabha elections revealed that the Bharatiya Janata group (BJP) had a 12 percent advantage over the INDI alliance, which is the political group that represents the opposition. This information was gleaned from the results of the study. These conclusions were derived from the results of the survey that was carried out in the time leading up to the votes being cast.

A total of four out of ten people have expressed their support for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), as indicated by the findings of the study. Furthermore, it is anticipated that Congress will make a few tiny enhancements; yet, it is highly doubtful that these advancements will present a serious threat when they are implemented.

It is still the case that the Modi factor is a big contributor to the advantage that the Northern Democratic Alliance (NDA) enjoys at this point in time. This is the view that has been maintained throughout this discussion. During this election, there is no denying that concerns over one’s ability to provide for oneself are becoming an increasingly important concern. Concerns about this are growing more prevalent.

One can get the sense that a terrible war is on the horizon by reading a column that was published in The Hindu and made reference to the survey. This occurs as a result of the fact that particular subsets of the population are dissatisfied with problems such as unemployment and inflation, which is an indication that a conflict is on the horizon.

The findings of the study that was conducted previous to the election revealed that approximately 48 percent of voters continue to support Modi as their favorite candidate for Prime Minister. This was discovered in accordance with the findings of the research that was carried out after the election. During the election, however, only 27 percent of voters showed their support for Rahul Gandhi, who is a member of the Congress party. This is a significant disparity.

The ‘Modi guarantee’ provided Prime Minister Narendra Modi with an advantage over the guarantees that Rahul Gandhi delivered. This advantage was granted to Modi by the Modi guarantee. This benefit was considered to be advantageous when compared to other advantages. The guarantees that Gandhi has provided, on the other hand, are trusted “a lot” or “somewhat” by approximately 49 percent of the respondents, whilst the guarantees that Modi has provided are trusted “a lot” or “somewhat” by approximately 56 percent of the respondents. It is essential to take into account the fact that the households with the highest incomes demonstrated a greater degree of trust in Modi’s commitments, but the households belonging to the middle class demonstrated a comparable level of trust in both of these aspects.

Who wins Lok Sabha 2024 elections? Modi-led BJP takes lead in pre-poll  survey - BusinessToday

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According to the findings of the study, more than half of the individuals who have participated in the survey have expressed satisfaction with the manner in which the BJP government has carried out its responsibilities throughout the course of the 10 years that have passed since the poll was conducted. As a result, this would imply that they have a favorable attitude toward the concept of providing the Modi government with a further opportunity to demonstrate its capabilities.

The construction of the Ram Mandir in Ayodhya was deemed to be the “most admired work” that Modi has ever finished, as indicated by the responses of one third of the participants who took part in the study. Due to the fact that this is the circumstance, it is possible to draw the conclusion that the construction of the temple has a significant resonance among voters, particularly among those who are in favor of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA).

According to the conclusions of the study that was done previous to the election, candidates are expressing major concerns regarding the rising rates of inflation and unemployment. While the economy continues to be in a dangerous state, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) continues to keep its position as the most prominent political party in India. This is despite the fact that the BJP continues to maintain its position. The fact that this is the case demonstrates that the sentiments of voters might not be entirely consistent with the level of economic success, which is a fascinating aspect of the election that is about to take place. It is almost time for the election to take place.

There is a decrease in the degree of satisfaction with the performance of the government in comparison to the year 2019, despite the fact that the administration continues to maintain its advantage from the previous year. The percentage of support for another name is shown to be lower in metropolitan areas when compared to rural areas, according to the findings.

According to the results of the pre-poll study that was carried out in 2019, the number of those who are content with the way the NDA is being administered has fallen. Despite the fact that there is still a sizeable percentage of the community that is pleased with the manner in which the NDA is being managed, this is the situation that has arisen. Sixty-five percent of those who participated in the survey said that they were “somewhat” or “fully” satisfied with the policies that were executed by the administration before to the elections that took place in 2019.

These elections took place in 2019. The percentage of respondents who fit this description is expected to drop to 51 percent by the year 2024, according to the projections made by the researchers. The estimation is as follows. The percentage of individuals who report that they are “somewhat” or “fully” dissatisfied has grown somewhat (from thirty percent to thirty-nine percent), which shows that the percentage has shown an upward trend. When compared to the levels of contentment that were identified in the northern and western regions, the level of contentment that was found to be present in the southern regions was found to be significantly lower. Specifically, the southern regions exhibited low levels of contentment in their residents.

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Because there are still concerns regarding the performance of the party, which has left the field open, the study reveals that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is in a strong position to win the elections that will take place in 2024. These elections are scheduled to take place in India. In spite of the fact that there are still concerns regarding the performance of the party, this is the reality that has manifested itself.

In the Lokniti-CSDS Pre-Poll survey 2024, there were a total of 10,019 individuals who participated. These individuals came from 19 different states. There was a survey that was carried out with the purpose of collecting responses from those persons.

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